LAS 82-86 PHX, July 22, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. PHX beat LAS 86-82, but LAS's shots were worth 91.7 points to PHX's 89.7.

LAS 82-86 PHX, July 22, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
LAS	70	65	75.0	17/21	16.7	82	91.7
PHX	74	77	80.5	9/13	9.2	86	89.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All WNBA games, 2026-27

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.