SEA 102-105 MIN, July 20, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MIN beat SEA 105-102, and MIN's shots were worth 97.9 points to SEA's 89.8.

SEA 102-105 MIN, July 20, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
SEA	70	83	72.3	19/22	17.5	102	89.8
MIN	76	84	79.3	21/22	18.6	105	97.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All WNBA games, 2026-27

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.