CHI 95-90 SEA, July 15, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. CHI beat SEA 95-90, but SEA's shots were worth 103.6 points to CHI's 98.3.

CHI 95-90 SEA, July 15, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
CHI748183.514/1914.89598.3
SEA787685.914/2317.790103.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.