DAL 96-91 CHI, July 12, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. DAL beat CHI 96-91, but CHI's shots were worth 90.2 points to DAL's 87.3.

DAL 96-91 CHI, July 12, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
DAL758171.815/1915.69687.3
CHI757980.212/1310.09190.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All WNBA games, 2026-27

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.