ATL 89-78 SEA, July 9, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ATL beat SEA 89-78, and ATL's shots were worth 103.9 points to SEA's 84.5.

ATL 89-78 SEA, July 9, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ATL	72	66	83.3	23/26	20.6	89	103.9
SEA	66	63	69.4	15/19	15.1	78	84.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All WNBA games, 2026-27

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.