SEA 72-77 PDX, July 4, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. PDX beat SEA 77-72, and PDX's shots were worth 90.4 points to SEA's 84.4.

SEA 72-77 PDX, July 4, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
SEA	71	56	70.4	16/18	14.0	72	84.4
PDX	68	54	69.5	23/25	20.9	77	90.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All WNBA games, 2026-27

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.