NYL 99-86 MIN, July 3, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. NYL beat MIN 99-86, but MIN's shots were worth 93.6 points to NYL's 81.1.

NYL 99-86 MIN, July 3, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
NYL	62	82	66.0	17/18	15.1	99	81.1
MIN	85	78	86.4	8/9	7.2	86	93.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.