CON 83-86 DAL, July 2, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. DAL beat CON 86-83, but CON's shots were worth 89.6 points to DAL's 79.9.

CON 83-86 DAL, July 2, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
CON646163.522/3526.18389.6
DAL687567.411/1612.58679.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All WNBA games, 2026-27

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.