IND 83-71 ATL, June 4, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. IND beat ATL 83-71, but ATL's shots were worth 89.5 points to IND's 75.2.

IND 83-71 ATL, June 4, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
IND	63	71	63.1	12/15	12.1	83	75.2
ATL	67	52	71.0	19/24	18.6	71	89.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All WNBA games, 2026-27

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.