PHX 77-111 MIN, June 1, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. MIN beat PHX 111-77, but PHX's shots were worth 82.5 points to MIN's 78.1.

PHX 77-111 MIN, June 1, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
PHX	64	54	61.5	23/27	21.0	77	82.5
MIN	69	98	67.5	13/13	10.7	111	78.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All WNBA games, 2026-27

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.