MIN 96-81 ATL, May 27, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. MIN beat ATL 96-81, but ATL's shots were worth 85.8 points to MIN's 82.9.

MIN 96-81 ATL, May 27, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIN	67	87	74.3	9/10	8.6	96	82.9
ATL	65	69	73.7	12/16	12.0	81	85.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All WNBA games, 2026-27

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.