PHX 90-98 TOR, May 19, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. TOR beat PHX 98-90, but PHX's shots were worth 102.5 points to TOR's 95.5.

PHX 90-98 TOR, May 19, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
PHX706880.522/2822.090102.5
TOR748380.215/1815.39895.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All WNBA games, 2026-27

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.