LAS 99-95 TOR, May 15, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. LAS beat TOR 99-95, but TOR's shots were worth 92.4 points to LAS's 80.3.

LAS 99-95 TOR, May 15, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
LAS	58	83	64.5	16/20	15.8	99	80.3
TOR	70	74	74.5	21/22	17.9	95	92.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All WNBA games, 2026-27

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.