IND 102-104 WAS, May 15, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. WAS beat IND 104-102, but IND's shots were worth 111.9 points to WAS's 98.7.

IND 102-104 WAS, May 15, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
IND	92	89	96.6	13/19	15.3	102	111.9
WAS	68	82	77.0	22/28	21.7	104	98.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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