DAL 72-77 ATL, May 12, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ATL beat DAL 77-72, and ATL's shots were worth 85.6 points to DAL's 82.4.

DAL 72-77 ATL, May 12, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DAL	73	60	70.8	12/14	11.6	72	82.4
ATL	69	61	72.0	16/17	13.7	77	85.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.