MIN 90-91 ATL, May 9, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ATL beat MIN 91-90, and ATL's shots were worth 103.4 points to MIN's 89.4.

MIN 90-91 ATL, May 9, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
MIN707571.315/2218.19089.4
ATL736979.722/3023.891103.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All WNBA games, 2026-27

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.