LAS 78-105 LVA, May 10, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. LVA beat LAS 105-78, but LAS's shots were worth 97.3 points to LVA's 85.7.

LAS 78-105 LVA, May 10, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
LAS	78	67	85.0	11/16	12.3	78	97.3
LVA	69	93	72.5	12/17	13.3	105	85.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All WNBA games, 2026-27

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.