IND 104-107 DAL, May 9, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. DAL beat IND 107-104, but IND's shots were worth 95.3 points to DAL's 85.8.

IND 104-107 DAL, May 9, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
IND	77	87	78.3	17/21	17.0	104	95.3
DAL	66	90	66.8	17/24	19.0	107	85.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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