LAS 75-103 LVA, September 11, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. LVA beat LAS 103-75, but LAS's shots were worth 90.3 points to LVA's 84.5.

LAS 75-103 LVA, September 11, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
LAS736682.69/107.77590.3
LVA789879.65/64.910384.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All WNBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.