CON 72-88 ATL, September 10, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. ATL beat CON 88-72, but CON's shots were worth 91.7 points to ATL's 77.5.

CON 72-88 ATL, September 10, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
CON735575.317/2116.47291.7
ATL617666.612/1411.08877.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All WNBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.