IND 83-72 MIN, September 9, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. IND beat MIN 83-72, but MIN's shots were worth 81.3 points to IND's 73.1.

IND 83-72 MIN, September 9, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
IND	64	71	62.4	12/14	10.7	83	73.1
MIN	74	68	75.1	4/9	6.2	72	81.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.