GSV 72-78 MIN, September 6, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. MIN beat GSV 78-72, but GSV's shots were worth 83.5 points to MIN's 78.8.

GSV 72-78 MIN, September 6, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
GSV	70	63	73.5	9/12	10.0	72	83.5
MIN	68	64	65.8	14/16	13.0	78	78.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.