CON 87-84 PHX, September 6, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. CON beat PHX 87-84, but PHX's shots were worth 83.2 points to CON's 82.5.

CON 87-84 PHX, September 6, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
CON636154.926/3427.68782.5
PHX716966.815/2116.48483.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All WNBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.