SEA 76-84 NYL, September 5, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. NYL beat SEA 84-76, but SEA's shots were worth 78.8 points to NYL's 74.9.

SEA 76-84 NYL, September 5, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
SEA686467.012/1511.87678.8
NYL556356.121/2318.88474.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All WNBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.