LVA 97-87 MIN, September 4, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. LVA beat MIN 97-87, but MIN's shots were worth 73.5 points to LVA's 72.3.

LVA 97-87 MIN, September 4, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
LVA698763.110/119.29772.3
MIN678165.26/118.38773.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.