MIN 96-71 DAL, September 1, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. MIN beat DAL 96-71, but DAL's shots were worth 81.5 points to MIN's 73.8.

MIN 96-71 DAL, September 1, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIN	65	86	64.5	10/11	9.3	96	73.8
DAL	67	55	63.1	16/23	18.4	71	81.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.