CON 76-93 ATL, September 1, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ATL beat CON 93-76, and ATL's shots were worth 89.7 points to CON's 74.3.

CON 76-93 ATL, September 1, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
CON626463.012/1411.37674.3
ATL697070.723/2419.09389.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All WNBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.