SEA 79-69 CHI, August 30, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. SEA beat CHI 79-69, but CHI's shots were worth 79.7 points to SEA's 76.3.

SEA 79-69 CHI, August 30, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
SEA656162.318/1814.07976.3
CHI615560.614/2519.26979.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All WNBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.