CON 70-94 MIN, August 30, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. MIN beat CON 94-70, but CON's shots were worth 82.5 points to MIN's 77.1.

CON 70-94 MIN, August 30, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
CON	69	55	66.5	15/21	15.9	70	82.5
MIN	66	83	65.1	11/16	12.0	94	77.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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