ATL 100-78 DAL, August 29, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ATL beat DAL 100-78, and ATL's shots were worth 85.7 points to DAL's 82.9.

ATL 100-78 DAL, August 29, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ATL	69	91	76.2	9/12	9.5	100	85.7
DAL	73	71	75.6	7/9	7.3	78	82.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All WNBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.