ATL 75-81 LVA, August 27, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. LVA beat ATL 81-75, but ATL's shots were worth 91.0 points to LVA's 77.1.

ATL 75-81 LVA, August 27, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
ATL756480.511/1310.57591.0
LVA677267.89/119.28177.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All WNBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.