NYL 81-79 CON, August 25, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. NYL beat CON 81-79, but CON's shots were worth 75.0 points to NYL's 70.3.

NYL 81-79 CON, August 25, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
NYL	58	65	54.4	16/19	15.9	81	70.3
CON	71	70	64.2	9/14	10.9	79	75.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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