MIN 97-84 IND, August 24, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. MIN beat IND 97-84, but IND's shots were worth 83.2 points to MIN's 73.4.

MIN 97-84 IND, August 24, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIN	63	84	61.7	13/14	11.7	97	73.4
IND	65	70	70.0	14/17	13.2	84	83.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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