PHX 81-72 GSV, August 22, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. PHX beat GSV 81-72, but GSV's shots were worth 81.1 points to PHX's 74.5.

PHX 81-72 GSV, August 22, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
PHX	64	70	63.1	11/15	11.4	81	74.5
GSV	67	58	66.0	14/19	15.1	72	81.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.