LVA 83-61 PHX, August 21, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. LVA beat PHX 83-61, but PHX's shots were worth 74.4 points to LVA's 74.1.

LVA 83-61 PHX, August 21, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
LVA	73	74	66.2	9/10	7.9	83	74.1
PHX	71	50	64.7	11/13	9.7	61	74.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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