ATL 75-73 MIN, August 21, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ATL beat MIN 75-73, and ATL's shots were worth 85.8 points to MIN's 80.2.

ATL 75-73 MIN, August 21, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ATL	71	63	75.3	12/13	10.5	75	85.8
MIN	70	67	74.2	6/8	6.0	73	80.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All WNBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.