LVA 74-72 ATL, August 19, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. LVA beat ATL 74-72, but ATL's shots were worth 74.5 points to LVA's 67.2.

LVA 74-72 ATL, August 19, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
LVA	64	65	58.0	9/11	9.2	74	67.2
ATL	65	60	63.5	12/14	11.1	72	74.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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