SEA 82-85 PHX, August 17, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. PHX beat SEA 85-82, but SEA's shots were worth 81.9 points to PHX's 78.5.

SEA 82-85 PHX, August 17, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
SEA	72	72	71.8	10/13	10.1	82	81.9
PHX	64	70	64.7	15/18	13.8	85	78.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All WNBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.