ATL 78-80 SEA, August 15, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. SEA beat ATL 80-78, and SEA's shots were worth 82.4 points to ATL's 80.1.

ATL 78-80 SEA, August 15, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
ATL585659.922/2520.27880.1
SEA717272.38/1310.18082.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All WNBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.