IND 84-88 WAS, August 15, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. WAS beat IND 88-84, but IND's shots were worth 88.6 points to WAS's 78.8.

IND 84-88 WAS, August 15, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
IND	73	73	76.3	11/16	12.3	84	88.6
WAS	55	66	58.6	22/26	20.2	88	78.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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