SEA 75-85 ATL, August 13, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. ATL beat SEA 85-75, but SEA's shots were worth 82.2 points to ATL's 75.6.

SEA 75-85 ATL, August 13, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
SEA	74	68	72.0	7/13	10.1	75	82.2
ATL	63	74	63.5	11/15	12.0	85	75.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All WNBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.