WAS 83-88 GSV, August 13, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. GSV beat WAS 88-83, but WAS's shots were worth 75.4 points to GSV's 69.7.

WAS 83-88 GSV, August 13, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
WAS	64	67	61.3	16/18	14.1	83	75.4
GSV	57	73	55.7	15/17	14.0	88	69.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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