PHX 66-74 ATL, August 10, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ATL beat PHX 74-66, and ATL's shots were worth 84.8 points to PHX's 79.3.

PHX 66-74 ATL, August 10, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
PHX	69	54	68.1	12/14	11.2	66	79.3
ATL	65	59	69.5	15/19	15.3	74	84.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All WNBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.