LAS 102-91 CON, August 7, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. LAS beat CON 102-91, but CON's shots were worth 94.8 points to LAS's 90.2.

LAS 102-91 CON, August 7, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
LAS	62	81	70.0	21/26	20.2	102	90.2
CON	80	79	82.9	12/15	12.0	91	94.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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