LAS 100-91 IND, August 5, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. LAS beat IND 100-91, but IND's shots were worth 87.3 points to LAS's 82.9.

LAS 100-91 IND, August 5, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
LAS	66	87	70.1	13/15	12.7	100	82.9
IND	77	80	77.4	11/13	9.9	91	87.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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