CHI 78-64 WAS, August 5, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. CHI beat WAS 78-64, but WAS's shots were worth 80.0 points to CHI's 74.0.

CHI 78-64 WAS, August 5, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
CHI	63	72	67.4	6/9	6.6	78	74.0
WAS	65	56	68.3	8/15	11.7	64	80.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All WNBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.