SEA 74-78 IND, August 3, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. IND beat SEA 78-74, but SEA's shots were worth 78.9 points to IND's 78.6.

SEA 74-78 IND, August 3, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
SEA	68	62	67.2	12/15	11.8	74	78.9
IND	67	68	68.4	10/13	10.3	78	78.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.