LVA 101-77 GSV, August 3, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. LVA beat GSV 101-77, but GSV's shots were worth 87.1 points to LVA's 86.0.

LVA 101-77 GSV, August 3, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
LVA	76	88	73.3	13/16	12.8	101	86.0
GSV	73	60	72.6	17/18	14.4	77	87.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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