CON 78-87 NYL, August 3, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. NYL beat CON 87-78, but CON's shots were worth 83.3 points to NYL's 78.4.

CON 78-87 NYL, August 3, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
CON686166.017/2217.37883.3
NYL626659.221/2319.28778.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.