WAS 67-68 GSV, July 31, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. GSV beat WAS 68-67, but WAS's shots were worth 71.9 points to GSV's 63.2.

WAS 67-68 GSV, July 31, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
WAS	68	59	62.9	8/12	9.0	67	71.9
GSV	57	55	51.3	13/15	11.9	68	63.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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